Pac-12 bowl projections 11/5: Oregon and Michigan State in Rose Bowl

Rose Bowl - Oregon vs. Michigan State

I just don't see anyone beating the Ducks in the Pac-12 right now and if they run the table I think they end up with the second seed in the Playoff with the first going to an undefeated Florida State that runs through a soft ACC and Florida. This would put the Ducks in the Rose Bowl and I think the committee would jump at the chance to maintain the Pac-12/Big Ten match-up with a one-loss Michigan State team that lost to the Ducks in Eugene in early-September and then set up a BCS Championship Game rematch between Florida State and a one-loss Auburn.

Alamo Bowl - Arizona State vs. Oklahoma

I'm not sure if Arizona State can beat Notre Dame, but I think they win the Pac-12 South and lose to the Ducks in the Pac-12 Championship Game. With two or three losses, I don't think they get into one of the second-tier bowl games, but easily get chosen for the second Pac-12 bowl.

Holiday Bowl - USC vs. Iowa

I think the Trojans finish the season strong and have a great chance at closing by knocking off Notre Dame which would really bolster their stock going into bowl season. If they finish as I believe they should, just outside of the South title, I think they get scooped up by the first bowl that can grab them.

San Francisco Bowl - Stanford vs. Minnesota

Stanford is in a bad place right now, but I think they bounce back down the stretch and become an attractive choice for a local bowl while the South teams beat each other up and lower each other's stock.

Sun Bowl - UCLA vs. Georgia Tech

UCLA has bounced back from back-to-back losses as their schedule has softened up and I think they will keep it rolling the rest of the season enough to finish well, but not win the South. With a good record and Brett Hundley, they will be an attractive choice for bowl committees.

Las Vegas Bowl - Arizona vs. Boise State

The Wildcats are a Little bit cold after losing to the LA schools, but should finish up just fine and end up getting a bowl slot.

Cactus Bowl - Washington vs. Memphis

The Huskies are a bit of a wild card right now, I could see them winning the rest of their games or losing them all, let's say they go 2-2 or 3-1, I think they get the last automatic bowl slot for the Pac-12.

Birmingham Bowl - Utah vs. Cincinnati

The Utes could be the best team to miss out on an automatic bowl slot in recent history in this scenario. If they do, they will get scooped up by the best at-large bid available.

Hawaii Bowl - Cal vs. Air Force

I think Cal claws their way to bowl eligibility with a win over BYU and the Hawaii Bowl would love to have a West Coast team when Conference USA doesn't get enough teams eligible.