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Pac-12 NCAA Tournament watch: Seven Pac-12 teams could get into 2014 NCAA Tournament

Cal, Colorado, Arizona State, Oregon and Stanford are all on the bubble in early-February.

Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

In (barring disaster)

Arizona  21-1 (8-1)

Good wins: at San Diego State, Duke, at Michigan, at UCLA, Colorado Bad losses: None

Three toughest remaining games: at Colorado, at Oregon, Cal

Likely seed (If today was selection Sunday): 1

Even if they aren't the top ranked team right now, the Wildcats still might have the strongest résumé of any team in the country right now. The Wildcats took a major hit by losing Brandon Ashley for the season, but can still easily hang onto a one seed if they finish the season strong and only suffer a few more losses.

Work to do, but looking good

UCLA 17-5 (6-3)

Good wins: at Colorado, Cal, Oregon, UCSB, Weber State, Chattanooga Bad losses: None

Three toughest remaining games: at Cal, Colorado, Oregon

Likely seed (If today was selection Sunday): 7-9

The Bruins are the best Pac-12 team after Arizona right now and just outside of the Top 25. They could easily sneak into the coveted 4-6 range if they finish well, but also could easily fall back onto the bubble, depending on how it all goes. The Bruins also have some random extra strength right now as they have beaten three lower conference teams (UCSB, Chattanooga, Weber State) who are currently at the top of their conference standings.

On the bubble

Cal 15-7 (6-3)

Good wins: Arizona, Oregon Bad losses: at USC

Three toughest remaining games: at Arizona, UCLA, Colorado

Likely seed (If today was selection Sunday): 8-10

I was tempted to put the Bears up off the bubble and up with UCLA after their win over Arizona, but they are probably still on the bubble since they lost their three previous games, including one against putrid USC. The Bears are still probably safe, but need to get back to winning consistently, particularly in the games in which they are favored.

Colorado 16-6 (5-4)

Good wins: Kansas, UCSB, Harvard, Oregon Bad losses: None

Three toughest remaining games: Arizona, at UCLA, at Cal

Likely seed (If today was selection Sunday): 10-12

The Buffs looked like they were heading towards a seed in the 4-6 range before losing Spencer Dinwiddie and have been slipping every since. Still, their early season résumé which is rightfully bolstered by a win over Kansas is strong, they are still talented even without Dinwiddie and have chances to add more good wins down the stretch if they can play well.

Oregon 15-6 (3-6)

Good wins: Mississippi, BYU, Utah Valley Bad losses: None

Three toughest remaining games: at Arizona, Arizona, at UCLA

Likely seed (If today was selection Sunday): 11-12, with a play-in likely.

The Ducks have a very concerning in-conference record, but are bolstered by a strong, undefeated non-conference run that included wins over a number of good, but not great (wins over Georgetown and Illinois and San Francisco could become "good wins" depending on how those teams finish , teams. I would probably say that they probably sneak in right now, but they need to at least get to nine or 10 conference wins and that will be very tough with how strong the rest of their schedule is. They also need the teams that they beat out of conference to finish strong.

Arizona State 16-6 (5-4)

Good wins: at Cal, Colorado Bad losses: None

Three toughest remaining games: Arizona, at Colorado, Cal

Likely seed (If today was selection Sunday): NIT, maybe play-in.

The Sun Devils are very, very close to being in, but I think they would just miss out, and maybe I think that because it seems like that has happened a couple of times to the Sun Devils when they were right on the bubble.  I also don't think that the national perception of the Pac-12 is going to be high enough to get more than a couple bubble teams in, so I think the Sun Devils and probably another Pac-12 bubble team will be left out in the cold.

Stanford 14-7 (5-4)

Good wins: at UConn, at Oregon Bad losses: None

Three toughest remaining games: at Arizona, at Cal, UCLA

Likely seed (If today was selection Sunday): NIT

Like the Sun Devils, I think the Cardinal are one of the very first teams out of the NCAA Tournament right now. However, Stanford has a really good win at UConn and can probably get themselves in if they win the games that they should down the stretch.

Hanging by a thread

Washington 13-9 (5-4)

Good wins: Colorado, Oregon Bad losses: UC Irvine, Boston College, at Washington State

Three toughest remaining games: UCLA, Cal, at Colorado

Likely seed (If today was selection Sunday): NIT- one of those tournaments that start with C.

The Huskies would be firmly on the bubble if they hadn't performed so poorly out-of-conference, but they had a tough run and may have cemented themselves out of the NCAA Tournament by losing at Washington State Saturday. Still, if they can finish the regular season and do well in the Pac-12 Tournament, they have a shot at getting on the bubble.

Oregon State 13-8 (5-4)

Good wins: UCLA, Oregon Bad losses: Coppin State, DePaul, at Hawaii

Three toughest remaining games: at Arizona, Arizona, at UCLA

Likely seed (If today was selection Sunday): NIT- one of those tournaments that start with C.

Like the Huskies, the Beavers have taken care of business in-conference, but were really bad out-of-conference and it is going to make it very hard on them to get onto the bubble. They might still have a shot though if they can finish strong enough and perform well in the Pac-12 Tournament.

Utah 14-7 (3-6)

Good wins: BYU, UCLA Bad losses: at Washington State

Three toughest remaining games: Arizona, at UCLA, at Cal

Likely seed (If today was selection Sunday): One of those tournaments that start with C, maybe NIT.

The Utes were painfully close in every single one of their Pac-12 losses and convincing in all of their wins, so they very easily could have a much better in-conference record and be on the bubble, but you don't get points tournament time for tough losses. The Utes will have to make a serious run in the second half of conference play to be a serious tournament contender.