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Pac-12 bracketology 3/9: Oregon now a lock?

Utah slipping, Oregon a lock, UCLA out and can Arizona become a one seed?

Godofredo Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

In

Arizona 28-3 (16-2) RPI: 7 Seed: 2

Good wins: Gonzaga, at Utah, at Oregon, Utah, Oregon, San Diego State

Bad losses: at UNLV

The Wildcats are pretty much locked into a number two seed unless they can get some help from a collapse by Duke, Villanova and/or Wisconsin in the conference tournaments and take care of themselves in the Pac-12. There is a remote chance they could fall to a three if they flame out in the Pac-12 Tournament, but I would be surprised by that.

Utah 23-7 (13-5) RPI: 17 Seed: 5-6

Good wins: Wichita State, at BYU

Bad losses: at Washington

The Utes are quietly fading down the stretch and quietly really underwhelmed in Pac-12 play, not beating a single Pac-12 team that I think makes the tournament. The Utes can still crawl up to a three or four with a Pac-12 Tournament run, but could also slip down to as low as a seven in my opinion should they flame out.

Oregon 23-8 (13-5) RPI: 30 Seed: 7-9

Good wins: Utah

Bad losses: at Washington State

The Ducks are the hottest team in the Pac-12 right now and are incredibly capable of getting into the four-five seed range if they can win the Pac-12 Tournament.

On the bubble

UCLA 19-12 (11-7) RPI: 52 Seed: Play-in-NIT

Good wins: Utah, Oregon

The Bruins are probably on the wrong side of the bubble right now, but they can easily play themselves into the tournament if they can play well enough in the Pac-12 Tournament.

Hanging By A Thread

Stanford 18-12 (9-9) RPI: 58 Seed: NIT

Good wins: at Texas

Bad losses: at De Paul, at Washington State

The Cardinal have pretty much played their way out of the tournament, but they would have an at-large spot if they can get to the Pac-12 Tournament championship.