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Weekly Pac-12 line breakdown with 9/2

Each week's Peter Loshak breaks down Pac-12 lines with us.

Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports

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Michigan at Utah -5, 46

The betting value for the debut of Michigan under Jim Harbaugh is garnering more debate than any other Week 1 game it seems. Strong opinions being given for each side. Line bouncing back and forth, most recent move favoring Michigan.

UTSA at Arizona -31.5, 60

Total surging from opener around 52. UTSA played Arizona tight last year, but this year is a big down year for them, this should be a blowout. With total at 60, I'm starting to like the Under. Wildcats don't figure to run up the score.

Colorado at Hawaii +7.5, 59

Hawaii has new offensive co-ordinator who likes to emphasize the pass, and a senior USC transfer at QB in Max Wittek. Colorado will probably get manhandled by the elite of the Pac-12 but this should be a game where they will look to dominate if they can. I liked the Over when it opened at 56.5, and would still take it at 59.

Weber St at Oregon St (no line)

Weber St comes off a 2-10 season, from a minor conference, and with 31 freshman on the roster. Oregon St is rebuilding but returns 5 starting offensive linemen and should win this one by a wide margin.

Washington at Boise St -12, 55.5

Former Boise St coach Chris Petersen makes his return to Idaho, heading up the Huskies. Washington has some talent but is firmly in rebuilding mode, while Boise starts the season ranked in the Top 25 with some inexperience on offense but a defense that appears to be loaded. Small market line movement favoring Boise and the Under.

Stanford at Northwestern +12, 47.5

Stanford looking dangerous this year, their defense is always stout but they appear to be stronger offensively than is standard for them.  Fifth-year senior QB Kevin Hogan was good but inconsistent last season, but supposedly had a great spring. A lot of positives for Stanford to start the year, but not enough to make me want to bet them as a double-digit road favorite against Northwestern, a weaker team with a new QB but also with 15 returning starters.

Portland St at Washington St (no line)

Upset not likely. Portland St, playing in the Big Sky conference, was still just 3-9 last season. Washington St should enjoy their easy competition while lasts.

Virginia at UCLA -19.5, 52.5

UCLA could be primed for a huge year, and we'll get our first sense of how cohesive they are against solid but unspectacular Virginia, picked to finish last in the ACC Coastal division. Early market line movement favored UCLA even as a big favorite, moving from -17 to the current -19.5.

Grambling St at Cal (no line)

Grambling St finished 7-2 in the SWAC last season, but also lost 47-0 to Houston in non-conference play, and should get similarly manhandled by Cal this year.

Arizona St vs Texas A&M (neutral site) -3.5, 70

Marquee Week 1 matchup, offensive fireworks expected and the total opened high and has gotten bet higher. I liked the Over on the opener of 66, but 70 is getting up there. Last year Texas A&M had 5 games that went over 70 out of their 13, including their season opener against South Carolina and their bowl game. It's a similar kind of situation here, and I'd still lean Over even at 70, but the line is getting up there. And recently did take some action on the Under when the line hit 70 at some major books.

Eastern Washington at Oregon (no line)

Eastern Washington won the Big Sky last year, and can absolutely hang with lower-tier Pac-12 teams. Over the last 4 years, Eastern Washington played close games with Oregon St, Washington St, and Washington twice, including an outright win in the Oregon St game in 2013. They probably can't hang with Oregon, although their chances of an outright win are probably not much worse than what the dregs of the Pac-12's would be.

Arkansas St at USC -27, 69.5

Arkansas St is picked third in the Sun Belt this year, and they do have a legitimately potent offense with a lot of returning talent. The defense is looking pretty ugly for the Red Wolves, at least on paper as of right now, but this is a huge spread and they do have a history of covering these kinds of spreads in these kinds of games. The line has taken a dip from an opener around 29. No way I'd take USC minus all these points here, it would either be Arkansas St plus the points or pass.