On Track
Oregon 18-4 (7-2)
Potential seed: 3-5
Good wins: Baylor, Valparaiso, UCIrvine, Cal, Stanford, Utah, USC, UCLA, at Arizona Bad losses: UNLV
Toughest remaining game: 3/5 at USC
The Ducks have emerged as the Pac-12's best team after winning at Arizona. The Ducks are red hot right now and could easily find themselves as a three (even a two) seed if they can win the conference.
Arizona 17-5 (5-4)
Potential seed: 5-7
Good wins: at Gonzaga, Washington, at Stanford
Toughest remaining game: 2/27 at Utah
Pac-12 play has not been kind to Arizona. They have tumbled down the tournament board since conference play started and they are going to have to start winning more in-conference games soon are they will slip towards the bubble.
USC 17-5 (6-3)
Potential seed: 7-9
Good wins: Monmouth, Wichita State, Yale, Arizona, at UCLA, Washington
Toughest remaining game: 2/14 at Arizona
The Trojans have been the conference's biggest surprise in a year full of surprises. They no longer are atop the conference standings, but they have done plenty to be a shoe-in for the tournament for now.
Utah 17-5 (6-3)
Potential seed: 7-9
Good wins: San Diego State, Duke, at Colorado, at Washington, Cal, Stanford
Toughest remaining game: 2/7 at Oregon
The Utes are taking care of business and have some nice non-conference wins to support a really nice in-conference run. With Jakob Poeltl leading the way, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they end up being the top challenger to Oregon for the top spot in the long run.
Washington 14-7 (6-3)
Potential seed: 8-11
Good wins: Texas, Montana, UCLA, USC, Colorado, at UCLA Bad losses: Oakland, UCSB
Toughest remaining game: 2/28 at Oregon
Another huge surprise, the ultra-young Huskies have been at the top of the conference all season. A couple bad non-conference losses have them closer to the bubble than their stellar in-conference record might suggest, but they should be fine as long as they are consistent down the stretch in-conference.
Colorado 17-5 (6-3)
Potential seed: 8-12
Good wins: at Stanford, Oregon, Stanford, Cal
Toughest remaining game: 2/4 at Oregon
The Buffs have had about as good of a season as anyone could have expected thus far. Josh Scott is one of the best big men in the country and should be able to lead the Buffs back to the tournament as long as they don't fall apart.
On The Bubble
Cal 14-8 (4-5)
Potential seed: 9-12
Good wins: Saint Mary's, Colorado, Utah, Arizona Bad losses: Richmond
Toughest remaining game: 3/3 at Arizona
The young, talented Bears have some really nice wins, but they also have a lot of losses, especially in-conference. They will have to put together a winning record in the second half of conference play or they could get risk falling off the bubble.
UCLA 13-9 (4-5)
Potential seed: Play-in-NIT
Good wins: Kentucky, at Gonzaga, Arizona Bad losses: Wake Forest, at Washington State
Toughest remaining game: 2/12 at Arizona
The Bruins have made a few splashes where they have looked like a tournament team, but their overall and in-conference record might suggest otherwise. Right now I think they could get in as a play-in team, but I think they might been an NIT team unless they can win more games in the second half of Pac-12 play.
Stanford 11-9 (4-5)
Potential seed: NIT
Good wins: Utah, Cal
Toughest remaining game: 3/5 at Arizona
Stanford has a couple nice wins and has a decent in-conference record in a tough year in the Pac-12. However, they are going to have to close strong in Pac-12 play to get into the tournament.
Oregon State 12-8 (3-6)
Potential seed: NIT
Good wins: Oregon, Cal, USC
Toughest remaining game: 2/20 at Oregon
It has been a disappointing season thus far for the Beavers, but they still at least have a shot at making the tournament. They will need to turn it on in the second half of Pac-12 play, but they have shown that potential in a few nice wins.