New Strength of Schedule for all 12 Pac-12 teams

The Pac-12 announced the cancelling of non-conference games earlier this weekend with their announcement of a Pac-12-only schedule for most fall sports, including football. That canceled marquee matchups between USC-Alabama, Washington-Michigan, Oregon-Ohio State, Cal-TCU among others. Opponents canceled from the Pac-12 schedules are numerous and include multiple conferences.

The opponents with games canceled against Pac-12 opponents is also incredibly large:

North Dakota State
Hawaii (3 games; Oregon, UCLA, Arizona)
New Mexico
Notre Dame (2 games; Stanford, USC)
Sacramento State
Utah State (2 games; Washington, Washington State)
Northern Arizona
UNLV (2 games; Arizona State, Cal)
BYU (3 games; Stanford, Utah, Arizona State)
Montana State
Wyoming
TCU
Cal Poly
William & Mary
Houston
Idaho
Colorado State (2 games; Colorado, Oregon State)
Fresno State
Texas A&M
New Mexico State
San Diego State
Oklahoma State
Portland State
Texas Tech

So who has the highest win percentage with the remaining games left? Who has the strongest strength of schedule? Let’s take a look using ESPN’s FPI.

Arizona Wildcats

FPI rank: 57th

SoS remaining: 35

Chance of winning out: 0.0%

Chance of winning Pac-12: 0.2%

Arizona State Sun Devils

FPI rank: 48th

SoS remaining: 42

Chance of winning out: 0.0%

Chance of winning Pac-12: 0.4%

California Golden Bears

FPI rank: 42nd

SoS remaining: 28

Chance of winning out: 0.0%

Chance of winning Pac-12: 0.6%

Colorado Buffaloes

FPI rank: 75th

SoS remaining: 22

Chance of winning out: 0.0%

Chance of winning Pac-12: 0.0%

Oregon Ducks

FPI rank: 8th

SoS remaining: 55

Chance of winning out: 16.9%

Chance of winning Pac-12: 58.2%

Oregon State Beavers

FPI rank: 70th

SoS remaining: 45

Chance of winning out: 0.0%

Chance of winning Pac-12: 0.0%

Stanford Cardinal

FPI rank: 31st

SoS remaining: 30

Chance of winning out: 0.0%

Chance of winning Pac-12: 1.5%

UCLA Bruins

FPI rank: 49th

SoS remaining: 60

Chance of winning out: 0.0%

Chance of winning Pac-12: 0.6%

USC Trojans

FPI rank: 13th

SoS remaining: 27

Chance of winning out: 2.3%

Chance of winning Pac-12: 27.5%

Utah Utes

FPI rank: 24th

SoS remaining: 58

Chance of winning out: 0.5%

Chance of winning Pac-12: 8.6%

Washington Huskies

FPI rank: 28th

SoS remaining: 26

Chance of winning out: 0.1%

Chance of winning Pac-12: 2.2%

Washington State Cougars

FPI rank: 58th

SoS remaining: 50

Chance of winning out: 0.0%

Chance of winning Pac-12: 0.1%

So, to recap, here are the strength of schedule rankings for the Pac-12 teams:

Colorado — 22
Washington — 26
USC — 27
Cal — 28
Stanford — 30
Arizona — 35
Arizona State — 42
Oregon State — 45
Washington State — 50
Oregon — 55
Utah — 58
UCLA — 60

And further recapping, the FPI ranking for all of the Pac-12 teams:

1. Oregon (8th)
2. USC (13th)
3. Utah (24th)
4. Washington (28th)
5. Stanford (31st)
6. Cal (42nd)
7. Arizona State (48th)
8. UCLA (49th)
9. Arizona (57th)
10. Washington State (58th)
11. Oregon State (70th)
12. Colorado (75th)