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Bracketology, Pac-12 Edition: Oregon & Arizona In, UCLA & Arizona State Barely In

Which teams will make the NCAA tournament? Right now the Oregon Ducks and Arizona Wildcats appear to be safely into the mix while the UCLA Bruins and Arizona State Sun Devils are further off.

Scott Olmos-USA TODAY Sports

If the tournament selection was today, which Pac-12 teams do you think would be dancing?

Jack Follman, Pacific Takes: Arizona, Oregon are the obvious and I think UCLA and Arizona State are the bubblish teams. I think Colorado has a very outside shot because of their overall record and wins over Baylor and Colorado State, but that Baylor win doesn't look as good as it once did and the Buffs have a losing record in an average Pac-12 right now.

Jack Blanchat, Rule of Tree: I think Arizona and Oregon make it and I believe UCLA and Arizona State will sneak in. Those last two are incumbent on solid finishes to the year, but nobody else has a claim to a tourney spot.

Adam Butler, PacHoops:
From where I'm sitting today, I see Arizona firmly on the two line, Oregon a sneaky tough five seed, UCLA an I-don't-know-what-to-make-of-you nine seed, Colorado and ASU glad to be dancing as 10s or 11s, and Stanford and Washington wishing they'd play better ball a little more regularly. But the season still ain't over.

Norcalnick, California Golden Blogs:
Arizona, Oregon and UCLA are all safely in, I believe, UCLA on the strength of their big wins making up for their bizarro loss to Cal-Poly.

It's Colorado and Arizona State who present interesting resume questions. The Buffs are a power conference team in the RPI top 25 - teams like that simply don't get left out of the tournament. Yet they only have two wins over RPI top 50 teams, and Baylor is in danger of falling out of the top 50. Now they also have a bad loss to Utah. That all suggests a team that should be very nervous come selection Sunday. Two games against Oregon and one against Arizona means that the Buffs have time, but they need wins.

Meanwhile, ASU is resting everything on their performance in conference play, because their non-conference strength of schedule is atrocious. One game vs. an RPI top 100 team (a loss) along with one bad home loss to DePaul put them behind the 8 ball. They now own solid wins over UCLA and Colorado, but is that enough to make up for essentially starting the season in January? I'm dubious.