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Washington at USC -17, 56
Both teams are off bye weeks, and both are 3-1 ATS. USC bounced back from a loss 2 games ago with a huge win last time out, and often top teams coming off of a loss bounce back for multiple games, not just one. Coach Chris Petersen has gotten a lot out of Washington's limited roster so far this year, but they lost at home last week, and he probably doesn't have enough to work with to contain USC's explosive offensive weapons on the road. There hasn't been much line movement at all, which implies no sharp action as yet. The public is almost certainly going to be heavily favoring USC by kickoff though.
Oregon St at Arizona -9.5, 61.5
There are a lot of indicators pointing to a cover by Oregon St here, despite the Beavers being just 1-3 ATS on the year so far. Arizona is coming off of 2 straight blowout losses, and they weren't flukes. Arizona has gotten hit tragically hard by injuries on both sides of the ball, and their defense is getting badly beaten. Oregon St doesn't have an overall potent offense yet, but they do have some nice developing weapons, particularly freshman QB Seth Collins, and they could be primed to have their best offensive game of the year so far here, facing Arizona's vulnerable defense. OSU/Arizona games have traditionally been close anyway, with 6 of the last 8 in the series being decided by 7 points or fewer, and Oregon St is also off of a bye week, which should be a further boost to them. OSU coach Gary Anderson has a particularly good record recently when coming off of a bye week. At +9.5, I'd lean towards a cover by Oregon St.
Washington St at Oregon -17, 70
Oregon bounced back from their embarrassing blowout home loss 2 weeks ago with a win and cover on the road, but Oregon is clearly nowhere close to being "back". Their offense is a far cry from the explosive juggernaut it was in recent years, and it probably won't resemble that at any point this year. The QB play just isn't there this year to make that happen. Washington St is a team with major weaknesses, but they were able to get a nice cover on the road last week against Cal as an underdog at a similar line to what they'll be this week, and Cal was probably more likely to blow the Cougars out last week than Oregon will be this week. Early line movement on this game favored Washington St and pushed the line down, which indicates sharp money, and the public will very likely be heavily on Oregon again this week, as they were last week, despite the Ducks' continued sluggish play.
Colorado at Arizona St -15, 56
Arizona St was clearly overvalued by the market to start the season. They lost their first 4 games in a row ATS, all by double-digits. But they bounced back in a big way last week, getting an impressive win over tough UCLA on the road as a double-digit underdog. The issues that plagued them in the early weeks of the season will likely pop up again in future weeks, but this week they have a relatively easy assignment after their inspiring win, so they may have value once again as a bet. Colorado played well at home against Oregon last week, and the game was actually more competitive than the final score would indicate. But now going on the road into Arizona against a still-hungry Sun Devils team is not an easy scheduling spot, and they have a few new injuries cropping up to deal with as well.
Cal at Utah -7.5, 61.5
The Pac-12 game of the week, it's basically all positives and strengths anywhere you look for both teams. Even Cal's defense, which was abominable in recent years, is playing much better, as if they have something to prove, which they do, and they are doing it. Utah is an extremely tough opponent though, as their blowout road win at Oregon showed, and they're coming off of extra rest and prep time from their bye week to boot. And they'll even get back a key defensive end for this game, who sat out their last two. I'd be surprised if notable sharp action came in on this game in any way.
Off: Stanford, UCLA
