Saturday Nov, 4
#30 Stanford (6-2) vs #32 Washington State (7-2) 1230pm PT, Fox
Line: WSU -2.0
Win Probability: Pick 0.5%

#32 Stanford Offense vs. #9 WSU Defense

#80 WSU Offense vs. #58 Stanford Defense

This game likely decides which game vs. Washington is the game of the year in the Pac-12. Stanford is the significantly more balanced squad; their defense is playing a little better of late. The Cougs were just torched on big plays by Arizona last week. Stanford relies on big plays too, but in a less dangerous way than the Cats. I think WSU can slow down the Stanford offense, even with Love back, but I don't have faith in this WSU offense to put up enough points to win. In a pick-em type game I think you have to give the nod to the better coach and David Shaw is the best coach in the conference.

#104 Oregon State (1-7) vs #59 Cal (4-5) 230pm PT, Pac-12
Line: Cal -7.0
Win Probability: Washington 85.11%

#78 OSU Offense vs. #59 Cal Defense

#58 Cal Offense vs. #117 OSU Defense

Cal needs to go 2 for 3 down the stretch to get to an unexpected bowl game in Wilcox's first year. They have played in some close games that they maybe should have won, but young teams and young staffs sometimes lack the experience to put games away. OSU let a feel good upset slip out of their fingers last week in an extremely painful manner. I don't know that they have a lot in the tank for this game after that.

#66 Colorado (5-4) vs #55 Arizona State (4-4) 6pm PT, Pac-12
Line: ASU -3.5
Win Probability: ASU 60.11%

#46 Colorado Offense vs. #68 ASU Defense

#49 ASU Offense vs. #77 Colorado Defense

Well this game feels important for both teams. Neither team quite has to win this game to get to 6 wins, but the season sets up much better for whichever team walks out with the victory. Colorado is coming off their best performance since the early season after blasting Cal last week. ASU came right back down to earth last week against a USC team that they made look pretty good. ASU's defense isn't great, but they are significantly improved off last year. Colorado's offense is finally starting to look a little like the unit we thought they might be with so much returning talent. I like ASU at home.

#65 Oregon (5-4) vs #10 Washington (7-1) 7pm PT, FS1
Line: Washington -16.5
Win Probability: WSU 98.54%

#56 Oregon Offense vs. #4 Washington Defense

#22 Washington Offense vs. #62 Oregon Defense

This looks like a replay of last year's blowout, but this time the Huskies get to smoke the Ducks in the greatest setting in College Football. Even if Herbert comes back for this game I don't think the Ducks can get it going against a defense that is this good. Washington's offense hasn't been great, but they have been getting better and they are certainly good. They'll put up lots of points on this young Ducks defense

#31 Arizona (6-2) vs #19 USC (7-2) 745pm PT, ESPN
Line: USC -7.0
Win Probability: USC 72.29%

#3 Arizona Offense vs. #43 USC Defense

#15 USC Offense vs. #105 Arizona Defense

I didn't think Arizona would play any Pac-12 games that actually mattered this season, so getting a shot at USC and first place in the South is pretty unexpected. Such is the Khalil Tate effect. Arizona had a pretty good game against WSU last week, but it was basically home runs or strike outs and nothing in between. Arizona didn't have to put together any drives as WSU brought up their safeties and then didn't maintain assignments. Arizona played opportunistically on defense and caused 4 turnovers, which offset a 3 turnover night from the offense. USC certainly has to have plenty of tape on Tate at this point. They have plenty of talent all over the field, but this isn't a great defense. The trouble for Arizona is that USC's offense is suddenly clicking again. USC's offense will be the best unit Arizona has played this season. I don't like this matchup for Arizona against a fairly balanced squad. I think Arizona puts up a lot of points, but I think USC just barely puts up more.