Please find a data dictionary here:
You can find my full rankings here:
FYI Arizona's offensive rating is currently buoyed by their Week 4 performance against Washington; which will not last forever as I built an exponential time decay into the model to weight the model towards the most recent games.
Rank is NCAA Rank
Week 6 2016 Pac12 Beta_Rank |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | School | Record | Pred_Record | Beta_Rank | O_Rnk | O_Score | D_Rnk | D_Score | Spcl_Tm_Rnk | Spcl_Tm_Score | Sched_Rnk | Sched_Strength | Record_Rnk | Record_Strength |
| 2 | Washington | 5 - 0 | 5 - 0 | 2.0529 | 8 | 1.4683 | 8 | -0.60099 | 96 | 0.016378 | 81 | -0.19578 | 73 | -0.97891 |
| 3 | Washington State | 3 - 1 | 4 - 0 | 2.0285 | 9 | 1.4336 | 7 | -0.62386 | 112 | 0.02899 | 51 | 0.16034 | 57 | -0.50607 |
| 8 | Colorado | 3 - 2 | 4 - 1 | 1.6203 | 35 | 0.75092 | 2 | -0.85952 | 51 | -0.0099248 | 11 | 0.67129 | 53 | -0.39326 |
| 26 | UCLA | 3 - 3 | 5 - 1 | 0.84036 | 75 | 0.24016 | 9 | -0.59636 | 57 | -0.0038341 | 30 | 0.3499 | 40 | -0.20998 |
| 35 | USC | 3 - 3 | 3 - 3 | 0.53071 | 27 | 0.89835 | 69 | 0.41417 | 7 | -0.046535 | 9 | 0.7059 | 8 | 1.3876 |
| 39 | Arizona | 1 - 4 | 1 - 4 | 0.46895 | 17 | 1.1599 | 84 | 0.62994 | 127 | 0.061068 | 14 | 0.65993 | 43 | -0.25848 |
| 41 | Stanford | 3 - 2 | 2 - 3 | 0.43485 | 44 | 0.5909 | 49 | 0.208 | 2 | -0.05196 | 2 | 1.2183 | 6 | 1.9647 |
| 47 | Oregon | 1 - 4 | 1 - 4 | 0.35079 | 3 | 1.6224 | 115 | 1.2644 | 74 | 0.0071489 | 1 | 1.6375 | 20 | 0.040406 |
| 49 | Arizona State | 4 - 1 | 2 - 3 | 0.23675 | 65 | 0.39292 | 45 | 0.1568 | 67 | -0.00063875 | 18 | 0.58287 | 7 | 1.8473 |
| 53 | Utah | 4 - 1 | 2 - 3 | 0.2004 | 73 | 0.2508 | 38 | 0.06862 | 37 | -0.018223 | 69 | -0.040511 | 46 | -0.33508 |
| 56 | California | 3 - 3 | 4 - 2 | 0.15194 | 16 | 1.171 | 108 | 1.0389 | 34 | -0.019414 | 67 | -0.033802 | 44 | -0.26247 |
| 67 | Oregon State | 1 - 3 | 1 - 3 | -0.088344 | 51 | 0.50442 | 81 | 0.60192 | 52 | -0.0091508 | 15 | 0.64148 | 18 | 0.13252 |
Week 6 2016 Pac12 Beta_Rank Offense |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | School | O_Score | Drive_Eff_Rnk | O_Drive_Eff | Play_Eff_Rnk | O_Play Eff | Exp_Rnk | O_Exp_Drives | Negative_Rnk | O_Neg_Drives | Sched_Rnk | Sched_Strength |
| 3 | Oregon | 1.6224 | 9 | 0.75386 | 12 | 0.22263 | 12 | 0.71315 | 12 | -0.067245 | 3 | -0.3239 |
| 8 | Washington | 1.4683 | 44 | 0.39267 | 10 | 0.22777 | 1 | 1.005 | 23 | -0.1579 | 116 | 0.76351 |
| 9 | Washington State | 1.4336 | 5 | 0.94415 | 35 | 0.15261 | 33 | 0.50695 | 26 | -0.17008 | 95 | 0.58847 |
| 16 | California | 1.171 | 21 | 0.5543 | 47 | 0.13449 | 18 | 0.6401 | 22 | -0.15754 | 64 | 0.43673 |
| 17 | Arizona | 1.1599 | 59 | 0.29189 | 1 | 0.29128 | 21 | 0.62388 | 9 | -0.047107 | 16 | 0.0045181 |
| 27 | USC | 0.89835 | 107 | -0.017563 | 20 | 0.19633 | 26 | 0.58332 | 1 | 0.13626 | 7 | -0.15257 |
| 35 | Colorado | 0.75092 | 76 | 0.17506 | 21 | 0.19353 | 25 | 0.58999 | 32 | -0.2076 | 71 | 0.47229 |
| 44 | Stanford | 0.5909 | 90 | 0.07732 | 14 | 0.21651 | 61 | 0.346 | 10 | -0.048933 | 1 | -0.3551 |
| 51 | Oregon State | 0.50442 | 18 | 0.60313 | 54 | 0.123 | 76 | 0.27897 | 106 | -0.50073 | 12 | -0.05739 |
| 65 | Arizona State | 0.39292 | 43 | 0.39736 | 67 | 0.1087 | 67 | 0.32007 | 88 | -0.43325 | 94 | 0.58538 |
| 73 | Utah | 0.2508 | 94 | 0.05492 | 118 | 0.043371 | 87 | 0.20847 | 11 | -0.055962 | 111 | 0.71208 |
| 75 | UCLA | 0.24016 | 102 | 0.0058595 | 78 | 0.09832 | 60 | 0.35059 | 33 | -0.2146 | 52 | 0.34368 |
Week 6 2016 Pac12 Beta_Rank Defense |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | School | D_Score | Drive_Eff_Rnk | D_Drive_Eff | Play_Eff_Rnk | D_Play Eff | Exp_Rnk | D_Exp_Drives | Negative_Rnk | D_Neg_Drives | Sched_Rnk | Sched_Strength |
| 2 | Colorado | -0.85952 | 2 | -0.59896 | 24 | 0.060313 | 22 | 0.096334 | 46 | -0.4172 | 3 | 1.0093 |
| 7 | Washington State | -0.62386 | 9 | -0.17135 | 30 | 0.07196 | 17 | 0.064819 | 14 | -0.58929 | 10 | 0.82898 |
| 8 | Washington | -0.60099 | 13 | -0.13965 | 6 | -0.0078987 | 21 | 0.092755 | 17 | -0.54618 | 35 | 0.56772 |
| 9 | UCLA | -0.59636 | 72 | 0.33038 | 2 | -0.049237 | 7 | -0.079148 | 1 | -0.79836 | 28 | 0.63526 |
| 38 | Utah | 0.06862 | 37 | 0.064908 | 59 | 0.11313 | 59 | 0.3071 | 47 | -0.41652 | 21 | 0.67156 |
| 45 | Arizona State | 0.1568 | 64 | 0.26991 | 56 | 0.11078 | 62 | 0.33231 | 15 | -0.5561 | 2 | 1.0516 |
| 49 | Stanford | 0.208 | 70 | 0.31639 | 23 | 0.060003 | 38 | 0.19459 | 57 | -0.36297 | 7 | 0.8632 |
| 69 | USC | 0.41417 | 120 | 0.7831 | 60 | 0.11395 | 14 | 0.030825 | 23 | -0.5137 | 58 | 0.43574 |
| 81 | Oregon State | 0.60192 | 125 | 0.901 | 34 | 0.077769 | 16 | 0.038982 | 48 | -0.41588 | 16 | 0.74446 |
| 84 | Arizona | 0.62994 | 79 | 0.38259 | 80 | 0.14367 | 82 | 0.44172 | 66 | -0.33804 | 22 | 0.66445 |
| 108 | California | 1.0389 | 75 | 0.35907 | 122 | 0.22871 | 103 | 0.57363 | 114 | -0.12248 | 64 | 0.40856 |
| 115 | Oregon | 1.2644 | 126 | 0.90199 | 75 | 0.13338 | 91 | 0.50193 | 81 | -0.27285 | 5 | 0.98614 |
